After all, Ankara wouldn’t let the U.S. use Turkey to invade Iraq, and its relations with Washington have only soured since.The U.S. could try to enter Iran the way Saddam Hussein did during the Iran-Iraq war, near a water pass bordering Iran’s southwest. And Iran’s leaders might alternatively believe Trump does not want a war, especially given his publicly stated interest in reducing the U.S. military’s footprint in the Middle East. That figure amounts to the entire active-duty U.S. military plus several hundred thousand reserve troops.

A conflict with Iran would not be like the Iraq War.

All these locations are close to Iran, the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, where key clashes would take place in the event of any war between the U.S., its allies and Iran. Plus, an invading force would run up against the Zagros Mountains after passing through, just like Saddam’s forces did.Experts Ward cited estimated Trump would need to deploy 1.6 million troops in order to successfully capture Tehran. It has small mountain ranges along some of its borders. The day after Soleimani’s assassination, a surge in visits to the Selective Service -- the agency that administers the U.S. military draft -- “experienced technical difficulties as people flooded the site,” “And there’s the human cost,” Ward continued.

We rely on readers like you to uphold a free press. Anticipating this, the Pentagon has halted Iraq-based counterterrorism operations targeting Islamic State militants and has shifted its troops in the country to a defensive posture. A U.S.-Iran war "can become very messy very very quickly, and spread the conflict across the world," Lamrani said.David Axe serves as Defense Editor of the National Interest. “A U.S.-Iran war would likely lead to thousands or hundreds of thousands of dead. “There’s no surprise invasion of Iran,” Brewer, who is now at the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank in Washington, told me.Iran has nearly three times the amount of people Iraq did in 2003, when the war began, and is about three and a half times as big. Trying to forcibly remove the country’s leadership, experts say, might drive that total into the millions.” In fact, it’s the world’s 17th-largest country, with territory greater than France, Germany, The Netherlands, Belgium, Spain and Portugal combined.The geography is also treacherous. president Donald Trump on Jan. 2, 2020 ordered the killing of Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps militia and one of the country’s top military leaders.A U.S. Special Operations Command MQ-9 drone fired on a vehicle carrying Soleimani and a deputy militia commander at Baghdad’s international airport, killing both men.Against the backdrop of mass demonstrations in the aftermath of the attack, Soleimani’s successor vowed to retaliate. The goal would be to demonstrate to Washington that what Mr. Trump might see as a short-punitive campaign actually risks setting the region on fire.Iran has plenty of options for sidestepping American military advantages and striking at weaknesses in U.S. infrastructure. Nor does Rouhani control Iran's powerful Revolutionary Guard Corps—and they're the ones tied to Hezbollah and the Houthis in Yemen.”Iran has ties to militias in Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan, Omar Lamrani, an analyst at the military intelligence firm Stratfor, told Pearl. But the Iranians simply need to do enough damage to turn U.S. public opinion against the conflict -- to make it appear open-ended and uncertain.Iran, if under sufficient pressure, might also seek to spread the conflict more broadly, urging its proxies in Iraq, Syria or elsewhere to attack U.S. targets. By clicking “I agree” below, you consent to the use by us and our third-party partners of cookies and data gathered from your use of our platforms. Please enable cookies on your web browser in order to continue.

It would probably go about it in its time-honoured fashion; initially taking down Iranian air defenses and so on.

In other words, more troops than the Pentagon realistically can muster.The next logical step, if Trump indeed ordered an invasion of Iran, would be for the Defense Department to massively expand its force structure. ... From Iran to the US: Songs in times of war and coronavirus. He is the author of the graphic novels After an al-Qaeda affiliated group destroyed ancient religious monuments in Timbuktu, Mali, in 2012, the International Criminal Court took on a … Iran has plenty of options for sidestepping American military advantages and striking at weaknesses in U.S. infrastructure.U.S. Iran's FM says US lost the right to make demands when it withdrew from nuclear deal between Iran and major world powers. Trying to get in from the west could also prove difficult even with Turkey — a NATO ally — as a bordering nation.


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